Superbugs ‘will kill 10m a year more’ by 2050

Drug-resistant infections to lead to 10 million extra deaths a year – report

Superbugs 'will kill 10m a year more'Global leaders urged to act on superbugs that could devastate world’s most populous countries such as India and China

Failure to tackle drug-resistant infections will lead to at least 10 million extra deaths a year and cost the global economy up to $100tn by 2050, a report commissioned by David Cameron, the prime minister, has warned.

The stark figures, published on Thursday, and believed to be the first to quantify the potential impact of antimicrobial resistance (AMR) – drug-resistant infections or superbugs – will be used to make the case to global leaders that urgent action is needed. To put the figures in context there are currently 8.2 million deaths a year from cancer and annual global GDP stands at $70tn to $75tn, with the UK figure around $3tn.

Former Goldman Sachs chief economist Jim O’Neill, who chaired the report, said AMR represents a more certain threat than climate change in the short term.

“We cannot allow these projections to materialise for any of us, especially our fellow citizens in the Bric (Brazil, Russia, India, China) and Mint (Mexico, Indonesia, Nigeria, Turkey) world, and our ambition is such that we will search for bold, clear and practical long term solutions,” he said.

The report is the first published by the Review into AMR, set up by Cameron in July, amid growing concerns about the scale of the problem. It acknowledges that the human impact should be enough to prompt major intervention but says the economic figures illustrate that the issue “transcends health policy”.

Modelling by KPMG and RAND Europe, commissioned by the review, looked at three bacteria – K pneumoniae, E coli and Staphylococcus aureus – out of a group of seven highlighted by the World Health Organisation, as already showing concerning resistance levels.

It also examined HIV, tuberculosis and malaria as broader public health issues for which resistance is a concern.

No country is considered immune from the threat but for some regions and nations the outlook is particularly bleak. The world’s most populous countries, India and China, face 2 million and 1 million deaths a year respectively by 2050 and one in every four deaths in Nigeria by then is forecast to be attributable to AMR. Africa as a continent “will suffer greatly”, the report warns.

A “low estimate” of the current number of annual global deaths is put at 700,000.

O’Neill said of the $100tn figure ($15tn of which is from Europe): “As big as that number seems it almost definitely underestimates the economic cost.

He explained that this was because the study looked only at a subset of drug-resistant bacteria and public-health issues and did not examine the social costs, the demand on national healthcare systems and secondary health effects – the danger that interventions that have become routine in the developed world which rely heavily on antibiotics could be severely undermined. Caesarian sections, joint replacements and chemotherapy, by keeping people economically active, could together account for another $100tn between now and 2050, according to the report, although that amount would not be completely lost.

Despite the grim prognosis, O’Neill said there is hope if international consensus is reached and through advances in diagnostics, stimulating the development of new AMR drugs and alternative therapies such as vaccines – interventions which will be explored in greater detail by the review in future papers.

[quote_box_center]“With modern technology and the right focus and right guidance, by trying to leverage the world’s greatest technology for diagnostics, it would probably make significant difference to the pressure for use of antibiotics,” he said.[/quote_box_center]

Professor Dame Sally Davies, chief medical officer for England, said:

[quote_box_center]“This is a compelling piece of work, which takes us a step forward in understanding the true gravity of the threat. It demonstrates that the world simply cannot afford not to take action.”[/quote_box_center]

Find us here

Get news from the CSGLOBE in your inbox each weekday morning

The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors/source and do not necessarily reflect the position of CSGLOBE or its staff.

Paid content

Scientists Discover A Second Brain In Human Body, And It’s Located In The Butt

It turns out those gut feelings or pits in your stomach may actually come from your second...

The 10 Biggest Dangers Posed By Future Technology

It’s not easy predicting the future of technology. In the fifties it seemed a pretty much foregone conclusion that by 2015 we would all...

Harvard Study Proves Why The Bees Are All Disappearing

The human race is really starting to feel the consequences of their actions. One area we are waking up to is the massive amount...

What's New Today

Georgia House Votes To Allow Citizens To Abolish Police Departments In The State

The Georgia House backed an effort on Friday to dissolve the Glynn County Police Department and any...

Leaked CDC document contradicts Pence claim that U.S. coronavirus cases ‘have stabilized’

Even as Vice President Mike Pence wrote in a Wall Street Journal op-ed published Tuesday that coronavirus...

Five bombshells about Trump from Bolton ‘s book

Excerpts from former national security adviser John Bolton ’s book about his time in the Trump administration...

Don’t Listen to Fox. Here’s What’s Really Going On in Seattle’s Protest Zone.

It seems I live in a city undergoing a “totalitarian takeover” that will lead to “fascist outcomes”...

MOST READ

Complete List of BANKS Owned/Controlled by the Rothschild Family

What’s the significance of having a central bank within a country and why should you concern yourself, your family and colleagues? Central banks are illegally...

Putin has Banned Rothschild and His New World Order Banking Cartel Family from Entering Russian Territory

As of recently, Russian president Vladimir Putin took yet another decision for his country. "Under any circumstances", the Rothschild family is banned from entering Russian territory. Along...

What Is Agenda 21? Depopulation of 95% of the World By 2030

Most people are unaware that one of the greatest threats to their freedom may be a United Nations program which plans to depopulate 95%...

Scientists Discover A Second Brain In Human Body, And It’s Located In The Butt

It turns out those gut feelings or pits in your stomach may actually come from your second...

The new Google smart contact lens

Glass without the glasses: Google patents smart contact lens system with a CAMERA built in Google has patented a smart contact lens that could see...

Scientists Develop ‘GMO Painkillers Using Rat DNA, Yeast

Are you in enough pain to swallow this pill? Stanford scientists have developed a new way of creating painkiller components like hydrocodone by injecting...

A New Comet May Crash In October 2014

A newfound comet is apparently on course to have an exceedingly close call with the planet Mars in October 2014, and there is a...

Putin: Brexit Proves UK Can Destroy The New World Order

Russia is hoping for a ‘new understanding’ with a post-Brexit Britain, according to Kremlin sources, with President Putin said to be ‘deeply encouraged’ by...

Rothschild Family Wealth is Five Times that of World’s Top 8 Billionaires Combined

A recent report by Oxfam International highlights the dramatic rise in income equality by noting that the combined wealth of the world’s top 8...

This Groundbreaking Device Generates Drinking Water from Humidity

What if you’re a biker, cycling in the countryside miles away from the nearest town, and you suddenly feel thirsty but don’t have any...

Accused of War Crimes, Saudis Investigate Themselves and Find No Wrongdoing

Amid international calls for an independent inquiry into Saudi war crimes in Yemen, the Kingdom has investigated itself and found it has done nothing...