Superbugs ‘will kill 10m a year more’ by 2050

Drug-resistant infections to lead to 10 million extra deaths a year – report

Superbugs 'will kill 10m a year more'Global leaders urged to act on superbugs that could devastate world’s most populous countries such as India and China

Failure to tackle drug-resistant infections will lead to at least 10 million extra deaths a year and cost the global economy up to $100tn by 2050, a report commissioned by David Cameron, the prime minister, has warned.

The stark figures, published on Thursday, and believed to be the first to quantify the potential impact of antimicrobial resistance (AMR) – drug-resistant infections or superbugs – will be used to make the case to global leaders that urgent action is needed. To put the figures in context there are currently 8.2 million deaths a year from cancer and annual global GDP stands at $70tn to $75tn, with the UK figure around $3tn.

Former Goldman Sachs chief economist Jim O’Neill, who chaired the report, said AMR represents a more certain threat than climate change in the short term.

“We cannot allow these projections to materialise for any of us, especially our fellow citizens in the Bric (Brazil, Russia, India, China) and Mint (Mexico, Indonesia, Nigeria, Turkey) world, and our ambition is such that we will search for bold, clear and practical long term solutions,” he said.

The report is the first published by the Review into AMR, set up by Cameron in July, amid growing concerns about the scale of the problem. It acknowledges that the human impact should be enough to prompt major intervention but says the economic figures illustrate that the issue “transcends health policy”.

Modelling by KPMG and RAND Europe, commissioned by the review, looked at three bacteria – K pneumoniae, E coli and Staphylococcus aureus – out of a group of seven highlighted by the World Health Organisation, as already showing concerning resistance levels.

It also examined HIV, tuberculosis and malaria as broader public health issues for which resistance is a concern.

No country is considered immune from the threat but for some regions and nations the outlook is particularly bleak. The world’s most populous countries, India and China, face 2 million and 1 million deaths a year respectively by 2050 and one in every four deaths in Nigeria by then is forecast to be attributable to AMR. Africa as a continent “will suffer greatly”, the report warns.

A “low estimate” of the current number of annual global deaths is put at 700,000.

O’Neill said of the $100tn figure ($15tn of which is from Europe): “As big as that number seems it almost definitely underestimates the economic cost.

He explained that this was because the study looked only at a subset of drug-resistant bacteria and public-health issues and did not examine the social costs, the demand on national healthcare systems and secondary health effects – the danger that interventions that have become routine in the developed world which rely heavily on antibiotics could be severely undermined. Caesarian sections, joint replacements and chemotherapy, by keeping people economically active, could together account for another $100tn between now and 2050, according to the report, although that amount would not be completely lost.

Despite the grim prognosis, O’Neill said there is hope if international consensus is reached and through advances in diagnostics, stimulating the development of new AMR drugs and alternative therapies such as vaccines – interventions which will be explored in greater detail by the review in future papers.

[quote_box_center]“With modern technology and the right focus and right guidance, by trying to leverage the world’s greatest technology for diagnostics, it would probably make significant difference to the pressure for use of antibiotics,” he said.[/quote_box_center]

Professor Dame Sally Davies, chief medical officer for England, said:

[quote_box_center]“This is a compelling piece of work, which takes us a step forward in understanding the true gravity of the threat. It demonstrates that the world simply cannot afford not to take action.”[/quote_box_center]

Find us here

Get news from the CSGLOBE in your inbox each weekday morning

The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors/source and do not necessarily reflect the position of CSGLOBE or its staff.

Paid content

First Ever Study of Unvaccinated Vs. Vaccinated Kids, Pulled from Journal, Erased from Internet

In recent years, the glaring spotlight of skepticism has been turned to the topic of vaccines, bitterly dividing parents and giving doctors of modern...

Scientists Discover A Second Brain In Human Body, And It’s Located In The Butt

It turns out those gut feelings or pits in your stomach may actually come from your second...

The 10 Biggest Dangers Posed By Future Technology

It’s not easy predicting the future of technology. In the fifties it seemed a pretty much foregone conclusion that by 2015 we would all...

What's New Today

Georgia House Votes To Allow Citizens To Abolish Police Departments In The State

The Georgia House backed an effort on Friday to dissolve the Glynn County Police Department and any...

Leaked CDC document contradicts Pence claim that U.S. coronavirus cases ‘have stabilized’

Even as Vice President Mike Pence wrote in a Wall Street Journal op-ed published Tuesday that coronavirus...

Five bombshells about Trump from Bolton ‘s book

Excerpts from former national security adviser John Bolton ’s book about his time in the Trump administration...

Don’t Listen to Fox. Here’s What’s Really Going On in Seattle’s Protest Zone.

It seems I live in a city undergoing a “totalitarian takeover” that will lead to “fascist outcomes”...

MOST READ

What Is Agenda 21? Depopulation of 95% of the World By 2030

Most people are unaware that one of the greatest threats to their freedom may be a United Nations program which plans to depopulate 95%...

Putin has Banned Rothschild and His New World Order Banking Cartel Family from Entering Russian Territory

As of recently, Russian president Vladimir Putin took yet another decision for his country. "Under any circumstances", the Rothschild family is banned from entering Russian territory. Along...

Russia Issues International ARREST WARRANT For ROTHSCHILD & SOROS!

Vladimir Putin, now in full control of Russia as Prime Minister (then) NOW President , wishes to build a strong Christian nation. In a...

First Ever Study of Unvaccinated Vs. Vaccinated Kids, Pulled from Journal, Erased from Internet

In recent years, the glaring spotlight of skepticism has been turned to the topic of vaccines, bitterly dividing parents and giving doctors of modern...

70% of People on Antidepressants Don’t Have Depression

Over two thirds of people on antidepressants 'may NOT have depression' If sales for antidepressants such as Zoloft, Lexapro, or Prozac tell us anything, it’s...

Pillcam: The pill that FILMS your insides

The futuristic Pillcam - is a tiny camera fitted with a flashing LED light and takes 18 photos per second while traveling through your...

Maximizing Human Sensorimotor Function

New assistive equipment to maximize human sensorimotor function A prototype for wearable equipment to support human motion has been developed at Hiroshima University, Japan. This...

California is about to become the first state in the US to require solar power installations on all new homes

The world's fifth largest economy —and possibly the first government in the world—is about to require solar panels for all new homes. The California Energy...

Spending time with nature has extensive mental health benefits

Intuitively, many people understand nature's role in human health. Whether it is walking on the beach, swimming in the ocean, or hiking in the mountains,...

One Day After the Panama Papers were Leaked, IRS Headquarters Closes then Catches Fire

In the leak, 11.5 million documents were stolen from Mossack Fonseca and were leaked to Suddeutsche Zeitung, who then turned to the International Consortium...

Germany’s New Pre-Crime System Modeled After “Minority Report”

German police are considering using crime prediction software The pace of technological advancement is quickening to the point where the gap between science fiction and...